USD/JPY has
climbed to a five-year high today (December 13th), as traders increasingly
anticipate a taper of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE) programme
following the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) next week.
The Japanese currency is on course to record a seventh
successive weekly decline against the US dollar ahead of policy updates from
both nations' central banks next week.
While the Fed is widely expected to begin reducing its asset
purchases, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is reportedly preparing to step up its own
stimulus.
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has announced intentions to hike
the Japanese sales tax from April, which policymakers have expressed concerns
will threaten the progress being made towards achieving sustained inflation in
the country.
After 15 years of near-constant deflation, Mr Abe was
elected amid a pledge to secure two percent inflation within two years. To this
end, the BoJ launched a radical monetary stimulus package in April.
However, the expected divergence in monetary policy between
the BoJ and the Fed has caused the yen to weaken significantly against the
dollar.
Following a series of strong data releases, culminating in
the November non-farm payrolls report
showing American employers added more than 200,000 new jobs for the second
successive month.
In addition, the US unemployment rate declined to seven
percent, down from 7.3 percent in October.
Fed chairman Ben Bernanke has
previously linked the future of the bank's QE programme to the country's labour
market, stating the stimulus will likely be ended completely when unemployment
falls to 6.5 percent.
Despite the fact yesterday's figures showed the number of
Americans making initial claims for unemployment benefits rose sharply last
week, it is expected the FOMC will take sufficient encouragement from recent
economic reports to introduce a taper ahead of the end of Mr Bernanke's second
term at the bank. He leaves this post on January 31st 2014 and current deputy
chair Janet Yellen has been
nominated to replace him.
-donatedsb_b.jpg)
No comments:
Post a Comment